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Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna — LaLiga

Malaga crestMalaga
Full time1–1
Deportivo La Coruna crestDeportivo La Coruna

How the call landed

LaLiga·24 Aug
1 market hit
Model called
Malaga crestMAL1–0DLCDeportivo La Coruna crest
Full time
Malaga crestMAL1–1DLCDeportivo La Coruna crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Total goals call landed (Under 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called No, was Yes).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-1 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.20

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickLaLiga
Mon 24 Aug · 21:30 SAST
Malaga crestMalaga
Projected1–0xG 1.50 · 1.00
Deportivo La Coruna crestDeportivo La Coruna

No strong lean — near even (45% / 31% / 24%), projecting 1-0.

MALDrawDLC
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean45%
Both teams to scoreNo51%
Total goalsUnder 2.555%
Double chanceNo strong lean76%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (45% / 31% / 24%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 1.5–1.0 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 49%, over 2.5 goals 45%. Model projects 1.48–1.00 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → MAL

    Model projects 1.48–1.00 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Malaga crest
Malaga
vs
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna crest
20League position11
5Points11
7Goals for13
19Goals against13
-12Goal difference0

Current LAL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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