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Getafe vs Racing Santander — LaLiga

Getafe crestGetafe
Full time1–0
Racing Santander crestRacing Santander

How the call landed

LaLiga·23 Aug
Result hit
Model called
Getafe crestGET2–1RSRacing Santander crest
Full time
Getafe crestGET1–0RSRacing Santander crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 2-1, finished 1-0).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-0 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.34

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickLaLiga
Sun 23 Aug · 19:30 SAST
Getafe crestGetafe
Projected2–1xG 1.70 · 1.30
Racing Santander crestRacing Santander

No strong lean — near even (42% / 31% / 27%), projecting 2-1.

GETDrawRS
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean42%
Both teams to scoreYes58%
Total goalsOver 2.556%
Double chanceNo strong lean73%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (42% / 31% / 27%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.7–1.3 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 58%, over 2.5 goals 56%. Model projects 1.65–1.28 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → GET

    Model projects 1.65–1.28 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Getafe crest
Getafe
vs
Racing Santander
Racing Santander crest
17League position13
9Points11
5Goals for15
15Goals against26
-10Goal difference-11

Current LAL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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