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Espanyol vs Real Madrid — LaLiga

Espanyol crestEspanyol
Full time1–2
Real Madrid crestReal Madrid

How the call landed

LaLiga·22 Aug
Result hit
Model called
Espanyol crestESP0–1RMReal Madrid crest
Full time
Espanyol crestESP1–2RMReal Madrid crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 0-1, finished 1-2).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 1-2 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.26

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickLaLiga
Sat 22 Aug · 21:30 SAST
Espanyol crestEspanyol
Projected0–1xG 1.10 · 1.70
Real Madrid crestReal Madrid

No strong lean — near even (22% / 29% / 49%), projecting 0-1.

ESPDrawRM
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean49%
Both teams to scoreYes54%
Total goalsOver 2.553%
Double chanceNo strong lean78%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (22% / 29% / 49%), projecting 0-1.

Projected 0-1 from 1.1–1.7 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 54%, over 2.5 goals 53%. Model projects 1.10–1.69 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → RM

    Model projects 1.10–1.69 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Espanyol crest
Espanyol
vs
Real Madrid
Real Madrid crest
18League position3
8Points24
12Goals for25
14Goals against10
-2Goal difference15

Current LAL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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