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Real Betis vs Real Sociedad — LaLiga

Real Betis crestReal Betis
Full time1–0
Real Sociedad crestReal Sociedad

How the call landed

LaLiga·21 Aug
Result hit
Model called
Real Betis crestRB2–0RSReal Sociedad crest
Full time
Real Betis crestRB1–0RSReal Sociedad crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 2-0, finished 1-0).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-0 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.35

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickLaLiga
Fri 21 Aug · 21:00 SAST
Real Betis crestReal Betis
Projected2–0xG 2.30 · 0.70
Real Sociedad crestReal Sociedad

No strong lean — near even (40% / 33% / 27%), projecting 2-0.

RBDrawRS
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean40%
Both teams to scoreNo54%
Total goalsOver 2.558%
Double chanceNo strong lean73%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (40% / 33% / 27%), projecting 2-0.

Projected 2-0 from 2.3–0.7 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 46%, over 2.5 goals 58%. Model projects 2.28–0.72 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → RB

    Model projects 2.28–0.72 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Real Betis crest
Real Betis
vs
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad crest
4League position5
20Points19
16Goals for19
14Goals against18
2Goal difference1

Current LAL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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