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Real Sociedad vs Espanyol — LaLiga

Real Sociedad crestReal Sociedad
Full time2–1
Espanyol crestEspanyol

How the call landed

LaLiga·29 Aug
Result hit
Model called
Real Sociedad crestRS1–0ESPEspanyol crest
Full time
Real Sociedad crestRS2–1ESPEspanyol crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 1-0, finished 2-1).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 2-1 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.38

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickLaLiga
Sat 29 Aug · 19:00 SAST
Real Sociedad crestReal Sociedad
Projected1–0xG 1.00 · 1.90
Espanyol crestEspanyol

No strong lean — near even (39% / 33% / 28%), projecting 1-0.

RSDrawESP
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean39%
Both teams to scoreYes54%
Total goalsOver 2.555%
Double chanceNo strong lean72%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (39% / 33% / 28%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 1.0–1.9 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 54%, over 2.5 goals 55%. Model projects 1.01–1.86 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → ESP

    Model projects 1.01–1.86 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Real Sociedad crest
Real Sociedad
vs
Espanyol
Espanyol crest
5League position18
19Points8
19Goals for12
18Goals against14
1Goal difference-2

Current LAL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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