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Getafe vs Celta Vigo — LaLiga

Getafe crestGetafe
Full time1–1
Celta Vigo crestCelta Vigo

How the call landed

LaLiga·7 Sep
Missed
Model called
Getafe crestGET3–0CVCelta Vigo crest
Full time
Getafe crestGET1–1CVCelta Vigo crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called No, was Yes).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-1 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.15

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickLaLiga
Mon 7 Sep · 19:00 SAST
Getafe crestGetafe
Projected3–0xG 3.80 · 0.50
Celta Vigo crestCelta Vigo

No strong lean — near even (39% / 33% / 28%), projecting 3-0.

GETDrawCV
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean39%
Both teams to scoreNo61%
Total goalsOver 2.579%
Double chanceNo strong lean72%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (39% / 33% / 28%), projecting 3-0.

Projected 3-0 from 3.8–0.5 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 39%, over 2.5 goals 79%. Model projects 3.84–0.52 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → GET

    Model projects 3.84–0.52 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~79% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Getafe crest
Getafe
vs
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo crest
17League position9
9Points12
5Goals for10
15Goals against7
-10Goal difference3

Current LAL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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