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Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa — Liga MX

Atletico San Luis crestAtletico San Luis
Full time3–1
Necaxa crestNecaxa

How the call landed

Liga MX·20 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Atletico San Luis crestASL4–0NECNecaxa crest
Full time
Atletico San Luis crestASL3–1NECNecaxa crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 4-0, finished 3-1).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called No, was Yes).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 3-1 — partial.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.00

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickLiga MX
Sun 20 Sep · 01:00 SAST
Atletico San Luis crestAtletico San Luis
Projected4–0xG 4.50 · 0.50
Necaxa crestNecaxa

The model leans Atletico San Luis (95%), projecting 4-0.

ASLDrawNEC
Model confidenceHigh
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultAtletico San Luis win95%
Both teams to scoreNo64%
Total goalsOver 2.583%
Double chanceAtletico San Luis or draw99%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Atletico San Luis (95%), projecting 4-0.

Projected 4-0 from 4.5–0.5 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 36%, over 2.5 goals 83%. Model projects 4.46–0.48 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → ASL

    Model projects 4.46–0.48 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~83% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

Atletico San Luis crest
Atletico San Luis
vs
Necaxa
Necaxa crest
11League position17
19Points10
19Goals for16
22Goals against27
-3Goal difference-11

Current MX table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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