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Strasbourg vs Lens — Ligue 1

Strasbourg crestStrasbourg
Full time2–1
Lens crestLens

How the call landed

Ligue 1·29 Aug
Result hit
Model called
Strasbourg crestSTR1–0LENLens crest
Full time
Strasbourg crestSTR2–1LENLens crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 1-0, finished 2-1).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Under 2.5, was Over 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 2-1 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.31

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickLigue 1
Sat 29 Aug · 17:15 SAST
Strasbourg crestStrasbourg
Projected1–0xG 1.40 · 1.20
Lens crestLens

No strong lean — near even (44% / 15% / 41%), projecting 1-0.

STRDrawLEN
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean44%
Both teams to scoreYes51%
Total goalsUnder 2.554%
Double chanceNo strong lean59%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (44% / 15% / 41%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 1.4–1.2 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 51%, over 2.5 goals 46%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Strasbourg crest
Strasbourg
vs
Lens
Lens crest
16League position7
7Points13
12Goals for16
18Goals against12
-6Goal difference4

Current L1 table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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