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Tips8ngBeautifAI Game

Le Havre vs Monaco — Ligue 1

Le Havre crestLe Havre
Full time0–1
Monaco crestMonaco

How the call landed

Ligue 1·23 Aug
1 market hit
Model called
Le Havre crestLH4–0MONMonaco crest
Full time
Le Havre crestLH0–1MONMonaco crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (away_win).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-1 — missed.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.86

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickLigue 1
Sun 23 Aug · 17:15 SAST
Le Havre crestLe Havre
Projected4–0xG 4.30 · 0.60
Monaco crestMonaco

The model leans Le Havre (93%), projecting 4-0.

LHDrawMON
Model confidenceHigh
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultLe Havre win93%
Both teams to scoreNo57%
Total goalsOver 2.583%
Double chanceLe Havre or draw98%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Le Havre (93%), projecting 4-0.

Projected 4-0 from 4.3–0.6 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 43%, over 2.5 goals 83%. Model projects 4.30–0.60 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → LH

    Model projects 4.30–0.60 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~83% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

Le Havre crest
Le Havre
vs
Monaco
Monaco crest
18League position4
2Points15
8Goals for11
15Goals against7
-7Goal difference4

Current L1 table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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