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Nice vs Lorient — Ligue 1

Nice crestNice
Full time0–0
Lorient crestLorient

How the call landed

Ligue 1·22 Aug
1 market hit
Model called
Nice crestNIC0–1LORLorient crest
Full time
Nice crestNIC0–0LORLorient crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 0-0 — missed.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.45

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickLigue 1
Sat 22 Aug · 20:45 SAST
Nice crestNice
Projected0–1xG 0.80 · 2.00
Lorient crestLorient

The model leans Lorient (67%), projecting 0-1.

NICDrawLOR
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultLorient win67%
Both teams to scoreNo54%
Total goalsOver 2.552%
Double chanceDraw or Lorient88%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Lorient (67%), projecting 0-1.

Projected 0-1 from 0.8–2.0 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 46%, over 2.5 goals 52%. Model projects 0.76–1.99 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → LOR

    Model projects 0.76–1.99 expected goals

Form & table

Nice crest
Nice
vs
Lorient
Lorient crest
10League position9
11Points12
8Goals for7
10Goals against6
-2Goal difference1

Current L1 table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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