San Jose Earthquakes
Nashville SCSan Jose EarthquakesNashville SC18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.
Projected 1-0 from 0.5–2.0 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 31%, over 2.5 goals 45%. Model projects 0.45–2.01 expected goals
Model projects 0.45–2.01 expected goals
Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced
Current MLS table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.
| Outcome | Model | Market | Gap | Fair odds (model) | Avg market odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | 43% | 27% | +16 pts | 2.33 | 3.45 |
| Draw | 28% | 25% | +3 pts | 3.57 | 3.78 |
| Nashville SC | 29% | 48% | -19 pts | 3.45 | 1.95 |
Market = average of 5 bookmakers with their margin (≈107%) removed, snapshot . Fair odds are 1 ÷ the model’s probability. Two estimates side by side — not a betting recommendation; a gap is not evidence of value. 18+, play responsibly.
Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.
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