Los Angeles Galaxy
San DiegoLos Angeles GalaxySan Diego18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.
Projected 3-2 from 3.4–2.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 87%, over 2.5 goals 92%. Model projects 3.44–2.38 expected goals
Model projects 3.44–2.38 expected goals
Over 2.5 goals ~92% likely
BTTS ~87% likely
Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced
Current MLS table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.
| Outcome | Model | Market | Gap | Fair odds (model) | Avg market odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 50% | 43% | +7 pts | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Draw | 21% | 24% | -3 pts | 4.76 | 3.90 |
| San Diego | 29% | 33% | -4 pts | 3.45 | 2.82 |
Market = average of 5 bookmakers with their margin (≈107%) removed, snapshot . Fair odds are 1 ÷ the model’s probability. Two estimates side by side — not a betting recommendation; a gap is not evidence of value. 18+, play responsibly.
Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.
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