FC Cincinnati
Columbus CrewFC CincinnatiColumbus Crew18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.
Projected 2-1 from 1.5–2.5 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 71%, over 2.5 goals 76%. Model projects 1.51–2.47 expected goals
Model projects 1.51–2.47 expected goals
Over 2.5 goals ~76% likely
BTTS ~71% likely
Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced
Current MLS table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.
| Outcome | Model | Market | Gap | Fair odds (model) | Avg market odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati | 52% | 40% | +12 pts | 1.92 | 2.32 |
| Draw | 26% | 24% | +2 pts | 3.85 | 3.90 |
| Columbus Crew | 22% | 36% | -14 pts | 4.55 | 2.61 |
Market = average of 5 bookmakers with their margin (≈107%) removed, snapshot . Fair odds are 1 ÷ the model’s probability. Two estimates side by side — not a betting recommendation; a gap is not evidence of value. 18+, play responsibly.
Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.
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