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Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City — Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders crestSeattle Sounders
Full time2–1
Sporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas City

How the call landed

Major League Soccer·2 Oct
Exact score
Model called
Seattle Sounders crestSS2–1SKCSporting Kansas City crest
Full time
Seattle Sounders crestSS2–1SKCSporting Kansas City crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Nailed the exact scoreline (2-1).
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 2-1 — correct.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.27

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickMajor League Soccer
Fri 2 Oct · 03:30 SAST
Seattle Sounders crestSeattle Sounders
Projected2–1xG 1.80 · 2.30
Sporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas City

No strong lean — near even (48% / 30% / 22%), projecting 2-1.

SSDrawSKC
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean48%
Both teams to scoreYes76%
Total goalsOver 2.579%
Double chanceNo strong lean78%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (48% / 30% / 22%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.8–2.3 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 76%, over 2.5 goals 79%. Model projects 1.84–2.34 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → SKC

    Model projects 1.84–2.34 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~79% likely

  • Both teams to score

    → Neutral

    BTTS ~76% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Seattle Sounders crest
Seattle Sounders
vs
Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City crest
8League position15
43Points22
41Goals for38
40Goals against80
1Goal difference-42

Current MLS table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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