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Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps — Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake crestReal Salt Lake
Full time0–3
Vancouver Whitecaps crestVancouver Whitecaps

How the call landed

Major League Soccer·20 Sep
1 market hit
Model called
Real Salt Lake crestRSL2–1VWVancouver Whitecaps crest
Full time
Real Salt Lake crestRSL0–3VWVancouver Whitecaps crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (away_win).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-3 — missed.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.39

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickMajor League Soccer
Sun 20 Sep · 03:30 SAST
Real Salt Lake crestReal Salt Lake
Projected2–1xG 2.10 · 0.90
Vancouver Whitecaps crestVancouver Whitecaps

The model leans Real Salt Lake (62%), projecting 2-1.

RSLDrawVW
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultReal Salt Lake win62%
Both teams to scoreYes54%
Total goalsOver 2.559%
Double chanceReal Salt Lake or draw85%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Real Salt Lake (62%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 2.1–0.9 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 54%, over 2.5 goals 59%. Model projects 2.14–0.94 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → RSL

    Model projects 2.14–0.94 expected goals

Form & table

Real Salt Lake crest
Real Salt Lake
vs
Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps crest
9League position1
42Points58
50Goals for67
49Goals against33
1Goal difference34

Current MLS table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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