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Sunderland vs Fulham — Premier League

Sunderland crestSunderland
Full time1–0
Fulham crestFulham

How the call landed

Premier League·30 Aug
Exact score
Model called
Sunderland crestSUN1–0FULFulham crest
Full time
Sunderland crestSUN1–0FULFulham crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Nailed the exact scoreline (1-0).
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).
  • –Total goals call landed (Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-0 — correct.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.32

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickPremier League
Sun 30 Aug · 15:00 SAST
Sunderland crestSunderland
Projected1–0xG 1.10 · 1.20
Fulham crestFulham

No strong lean — near even (44% / 25% / 31%), projecting 1-0.

SUNDrawFUL
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean44%
Both teams to scoreNo53%
Total goalsUnder 2.560%
Double chanceNo strong lean69%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (44% / 25% / 31%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 1.1–1.2 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 47%, over 2.5 goals 40%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Sunderland crest
Sunderland
vs
Fulham
Fulham crest
20League position15
5Points8
6Goals for8
14Goals against10
-8Goal difference-2

Current EPL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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