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Coventry vs Hull City — Premier League

Coventry crestCoventry
Full time0–1
Hull City crestHull City

How the call landed

Premier League·29 Aug
Missed
Model called
Coventry crestCOV1–0HCHull City crest
Full time
Coventry crestCOV0–1HCHull City crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (away_win).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-1 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.31

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickPremier League
Sat 29 Aug · 16:00 SAST
Coventry crestCoventry
Projected1–0xG 1.40 · 1.40
Hull City crestHull City

The model leans Coventry (56%), projecting 1-0.

COVDrawHC
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultCoventry win56%
Both teams to scoreYes57%
Total goalsOver 2.553%
Double chanceCoventry or draw68%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Coventry (56%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 1.4–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 57%, over 2.5 goals 53%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Coventry crest
Coventry
vs
Hull City
Hull City crest
19League position10
6Points10
6Goals for9
15Goals against8
-9Goal difference1

Current EPL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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