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Leeds vs Brentford — Premier League

Leeds crestLeeds
Full time1–1
Brentford crestBrentford

How the call landed

Premier League·30 Aug
1 market hit
Model called
Leeds crestLEE1–2BREBrentford crest
Full time
Leeds crestLEE1–1BREBrentford crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 1-1 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.17

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickPremier League
Sun 30 Aug · 15:00 SAST
Leeds crestLeeds
Projected1–2xG 1.50 · 1.40
Brentford crestBrentford

No strong lean — near even (32% / 26% / 42%), projecting 1-2.

LEEDrawBRE
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean42%
Both teams to scoreYes59%
Total goalsOver 2.555%
Double chanceNo strong lean68%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (32% / 26% / 42%), projecting 1-2.

Projected 1-2 from 1.5–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 59%, over 2.5 goals 55%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Leeds crest
Leeds
vs
Brentford
Brentford crest
7League position6
11Points11
9Goals for14
6Goals against9
3Goal difference5

Current EPL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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