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Hull City vs Aston Villa — Premier League

Hull City crestHull City
Full time0–0
Aston Villa crestAston Villa

How the call landed

Premier League·5 Sep
Missed
Model called
Hull City crestHC1–2AVLAston Villa crest
Full time
Hull City crestHC0–0AVLAston Villa crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 0-0 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.17

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickPremier League
Sat 5 Sep · 18:30 SAST
Hull City crestHull City
Projected1–2xG 1.50 · 1.60
Aston Villa crestAston Villa

No strong lean — near even (39% / 19% / 42%), projecting 1-2.

HCDrawAVL
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean42%
Both teams to scoreYes62%
Total goalsOver 2.560%
Double chanceNo strong lean61%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (39% / 19% / 42%), projecting 1-2.

Projected 1-2 from 1.5–1.6 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 62%, over 2.5 goals 60%. BTTS ~62% likely

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Both teams to score

    → Neutral

    BTTS ~62% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Hull City crest
Hull City
vs
Aston Villa
Aston Villa crest
10League position9
10Points11
9Goals for9
8Goals against12
1Goal difference-3

Current EPL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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