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Bournemouth vs Everton — Premier League

Bournemouth crestBournemouth
Full time1–1
Everton crestEverton

How the call landed

Premier League·29 Aug
1 market hit
Model called
Bournemouth crestBOU2–1EVEEverton crest
Full time
Bournemouth crestBOU1–1EVEEverton crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-1 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.31

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickPremier League
Sat 29 Aug · 16:00 SAST
Bournemouth crestBournemouth
Projected2–1xG 1.90 · 1.10
Everton crestEverton

The model leans Bournemouth (55%), projecting 2-1.

BOUDrawEVE
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultBournemouth win55%
Both teams to scoreYes57%
Total goalsOver 2.558%
Double chanceBournemouth or draw80%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Bournemouth (55%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.9–1.1 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 57%, over 2.5 goals 58%. Model projects 1.90–1.10 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → BOU

    Model projects 1.90–1.10 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Bournemouth crest
Bournemouth
vs
Everton
Everton crest
13League position11
9Points10
12Goals for8
13Goals against9
-1Goal difference-1

Current EPL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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