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Sabadell vs FC Andorra — Segunda División

Sabadell crestSabadell
Full time0–0
FC Andorra crestFC Andorra

How the call landed

Segunda División·3 Oct
Missed
Model called
Sabadell crestSAB2–1FAFC Andorra crest
Full time
Sabadell crestSAB0–0FAFC Andorra crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-0 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.26

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickSegunda División
Sat 3 Oct · 18:30 SAST
Sabadell crestSabadell
Projected2–1xG 2.80 · 1.10
FC Andorra crestFC Andorra

No strong lean — near even (51% / 33% / 16%), projecting 2-1.

SABDrawFA
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean51%
Both teams to scoreYes63%
Total goalsOver 2.574%
Double chanceNo strong lean84%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (51% / 33% / 16%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 2.8–1.1 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 63%, over 2.5 goals 74%. Model projects 2.77–1.13 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → SAB

    Model projects 2.77–1.13 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~74% likely

  • Both teams to score

    → Neutral

    BTTS ~63% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Sabadell crest
Sabadell
vs
FC Andorra
FC Andorra crest
10League position19
17Points10
11Goals for15
9Goals against20
2Goal difference-5

Current SEG table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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