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AS Roma vs Fiorentina — Serie A

AS Roma crestAS Roma
Full time4–0
Fiorentina crestFiorentina

How the call landed

Serie A·24 Aug
Exact score
Model called
AS Roma crestAR4–0FIOFiorentina crest
Full time
AS Roma crestAR4–0FIOFiorentina crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Nailed the exact scoreline (4-0).
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 4-0 — correct.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.00

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickSerie A
Mon 24 Aug · 20:45 SAST
AS Roma crestAS Roma
Projected4–0xG 4.00 · 0.40
Fiorentina crestFiorentina

The model leans As Roma (95%), projecting 4-0.

ARDrawFIO
Model confidenceHigh
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultAs Roma win95%
Both teams to scoreNo67%
Total goalsOver 2.580%
Double chanceAs Roma or draw99%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans As Roma (95%), projecting 4-0.

Projected 4-0 from 4.0–0.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 33%, over 2.5 goals 80%. Model projects 4.04–0.43 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → AR

    Model projects 4.04–0.43 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~80% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

AS Roma crest
AS Roma
vs
Fiorentina
Fiorentina crest
3League position18
21Points5
23Goals for11
8Goals against21
15Goal difference-10

Current SA table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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