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Bologna vs Lazio — Serie A

Bologna crestBologna
Full time0–1
Lazio crestLazio

How the call landed

Serie A·24 Aug
Exact score
Model called
Bologna crestBOL0–1LAZLazio crest
Full time
Bologna crestBOL0–1LAZLazio crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Nailed the exact scoreline (0-1).
  • –Total goals call landed (Under 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 0-1 — correct.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.37

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickSerie A
Mon 24 Aug · 18:30 SAST
Bologna crestBologna
Projected0–1xG 1.20 · 1.40
Lazio crestLazio

No strong lean — near even (28% / 33% / 39%), projecting 0-1.

BOLDrawLAZ
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean39%
Both teams to scoreYes52%
Total goalsUnder 2.553%
Double chanceNo strong lean72%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (28% / 33% / 39%), projecting 0-1.

Projected 0-1 from 1.2–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 52%, over 2.5 goals 47%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Bologna crest
Bologna
vs
Lazio
Lazio crest
11League position2
11Points25
12Goals for22
12Goals against7
0Goal difference15

Current SA table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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