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Cagliari vs Inter — Serie A

Cagliari crestCagliari
Full time0–1
Inter crestInter

How the call landed

Serie A·30 Aug
Exact score
Model called
Cagliari crestCAG0–1INTInter crest
Full time
Cagliari crestCAG0–1INTInter crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Nailed the exact scoreline (0-1).
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).
  • –Total goals call landed (Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 0-1 — correct.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.37

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickSerie A
Sun 30 Aug · 20:45 SAST
Cagliari crestCagliari
Projected0–1xG 0.90 · 1.70
Inter crestInter

No strong lean — near even (34% / 27% / 39%), projecting 0-1.

CAGDrawINT
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean39%
Both teams to scoreNo52%
Total goalsUnder 2.552%
Double chanceNo strong lean66%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (34% / 27% / 39%), projecting 0-1.

Projected 0-1 from 0.9–1.7 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 48%, over 2.5 goals 48%. Model projects 0.89–1.69 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → INT

    Model projects 0.89–1.69 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Cagliari crest
Cagliari
vs
Inter
Inter crest
10League position1
13Points25
8Goals for25
13Goals against10
-5Goal difference15

Current SA table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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