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Frosinone vs Juventus — Serie A

Frosinone crestFrosinone
Full time0–1
Juventus crestJuventus

How the call landed

Serie A·23 Aug
1 market hit
Model called
Frosinone crestFRO2–0JUVJuventus crest
Full time
Frosinone crestFRO0–1JUVJuventus crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (away_win).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-1 — missed.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.56

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickSerie A
Sun 23 Aug · 18:30 SAST
Frosinone crestFrosinone
Projected2–0xG 2.50 · 0.80
Juventus crestJuventus

The model leans Frosinone (75%), projecting 2-0.

FRODrawJUV
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultFrosinone win75%
Both teams to scoreNo50%
Total goalsOver 2.564%
Double chanceFrosinone or draw91%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Frosinone (75%), projecting 2-0.

Projected 2-0 from 2.5–0.8 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 50%, over 2.5 goals 64%. Model projects 2.54–0.78 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → FRO

    Model projects 2.54–0.78 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~64% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

Frosinone crest
Frosinone
vs
Juventus
Juventus crest
7League position8
14Points14
17Goals for11
13Goals against10
4Goal difference1

Current SA table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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