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Tips8ngBeautifAI Game

Parma vs Cagliari — Serie A

Parma crestParma
Full time0–1
Cagliari crestCagliari

How the call landed

Serie A·22 Aug
1 market hit
Model called
Parma crestPAR3–0CAGCagliari crest
Full time
Parma crestPAR0–1CAGCagliari crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (away_win).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-1 — missed.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.82

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickSerie A
Sat 22 Aug · 20:45 SAST
Parma crestParma
Projected3–0xG 3.60 · 0.50
Cagliari crestCagliari

The model leans Parma (90%), projecting 3-0.

PARDrawCAG
Model confidenceHigh
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultParma win90%
Both teams to scoreNo60%
Total goalsOver 2.577%
Double chanceParma or draw97%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Parma (90%), projecting 3-0.

Projected 3-0 from 3.6–0.5 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 40%, over 2.5 goals 77%. Model projects 3.64–0.54 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → PAR

    Model projects 3.64–0.54 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~77% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

Parma crest
Parma
vs
Cagliari
Cagliari crest
19League position10
5Points13
5Goals for8
15Goals against13
-10Goal difference-5

Current SA table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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