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Tips8ngBeautifAI Game

Venezia vs Lecce — Serie A

Full time0–2

How the call landed

Serie A·23 Aug
1 market hit
Model called
Venezia crestVEN2–0LECLecce crest
Full time
Venezia crestVEN0–2LECLecce crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (away_win).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-2 — missed.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.49

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickSerie A
Sun 23 Aug · 18:30 SAST
Venezia crestVenezia
Projected2–0xG 2.10 · 0.70
Lecce crestLecce

The model leans Venezia (70%), projecting 2-0.

VENDrawLEC
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultVenezia win70%
Both teams to scoreNo55%
Total goalsOver 2.553%
Double chanceVenezia or draw89%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Venezia (70%), projecting 2-0.

Projected 2-0 from 2.1–0.7 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 45%, over 2.5 goals 53%. Model projects 2.11–0.71 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → VEN

    Model projects 2.11–0.71 expected goals

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

Venezia crest
Venezia
vs
Lecce
Lecce crest
20League position14
3Points9
6Goals for9
19Goals against14
-13Goal difference-5

Current SA table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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