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Sassuolo vs Torino — Serie A

Sassuolo crestSassuolo
Full time2–1
Torino crestTorino

How the call landed

Serie A·29 Aug
1 market hit
Model called
Sassuolo crestSAS1–2TORTorino crest
Full time
Sassuolo crestSAS2–1TORTorino crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (home_win).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called No, was Yes).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 2-1 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.16

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickSerie A
Sat 29 Aug · 18:30 SAST
Sassuolo crestSassuolo
Projected1–2xG 4.70 · 0.50
Torino crestTorino

No strong lean — near even (34% / 27% / 39%), projecting 1-2.

SASDrawTOR
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean39%
Both teams to scoreNo64%
Total goalsOver 2.584%
Double chanceNo strong lean66%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (34% / 27% / 39%), projecting 1-2.

Projected 1-2 from 4.7–0.5 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 36%, over 2.5 goals 84%. Model projects 4.65–0.47 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → SAS

    Model projects 4.65–0.47 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~84% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Sassuolo crest
Sassuolo
vs
Torino
Torino crest
15League position9
8Points13
14Goals for14
22Goals against14
-8Goal difference0

Current SA table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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