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Lecce vs AS Roma — Serie A

Lecce crestLecce
Full time0–4
AS Roma crestAS Roma

How the call landed

Serie A·31 Aug
Result hit
Model called
Lecce crestLEC0–1ARAS Roma crest
Full time
Lecce crestLEC0–4ARAS Roma crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 0-1, finished 0-4).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 0-4 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.37

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickSerie A
Mon 31 Aug · 18:30 SAST
Lecce crestLecce
Projected0–1xG 1.10 · 1.60
AS Roma crestAS Roma

No strong lean — near even (34% / 27% / 39%), projecting 0-1.

LECDrawAR
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean39%
Both teams to scoreYes53%
Total goalsOver 2.550%
Double chanceNo strong lean66%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (34% / 27% / 39%), projecting 0-1.

Projected 0-1 from 1.1–1.6 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 53%, over 2.5 goals 50%. Model projects 1.09–1.59 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → AR

    Model projects 1.09–1.59 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Lecce crest
Lecce
vs
AS Roma
AS Roma crest
14League position3
9Points21
9Goals for23
14Goals against8
-5Goal difference15

Current SA table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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