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Fiorentina vs Frosinone — Serie A

Fiorentina crestFiorentina
Full time0–3
Frosinone crestFrosinone

How the call landed

Serie A·29 Aug
Result hit
Model called
Fiorentina crestFIO0–1FROFrosinone crest
Full time
Fiorentina crestFIO0–3FROFrosinone crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 0-1, finished 0-3).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 0-3 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.37

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickSerie A
Sat 29 Aug · 18:30 SAST
Fiorentina crestFiorentina
Projected0–1xG 0.80 · 1.90
Frosinone crestFrosinone

No strong lean — near even (34% / 27% / 39%), projecting 0-1.

FIODrawFRO
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean39%
Both teams to scoreNo54%
Total goalsOver 2.551%
Double chanceNo strong lean66%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (34% / 27% / 39%), projecting 0-1.

Projected 0-1 from 0.8–1.9 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 46%, over 2.5 goals 51%. Model projects 0.78–1.91 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → FRO

    Model projects 0.78–1.91 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Fiorentina crest
Fiorentina
vs
Frosinone
Frosinone crest
18League position6
5Points17
11Goals for22
21Goals against14
-10Goal difference8

Current SA table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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