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OFI vs Kifisia — Super League Greece

Full time2–0

How the call landed

Super League Greece·6 Sep
Result hit
Model called
OFI crestOFI1–0KIFKifisia crest
Full time
OFI crestOFI2–0KIFKifisia crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Total goals call landed (Under 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 1-0, finished 2-0).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 2-0 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.27

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickSuper League Greece
Sun 6 Sep · 18:30 SAST
OFI crestOFI
Projected1–0xG 1.60 · 1.00
Kifisia crestKifisia

No strong lean — near even (48% / 30% / 22%), projecting 1-0.

OFIDrawKIF
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean48%
Both teams to scoreYes51%
Total goalsUnder 2.551%
Double chanceNo strong lean78%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (48% / 30% / 22%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 1.6–1.0 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 51%, over 2.5 goals 49%. Model projects 1.62–1.01 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → OFI

    Model projects 1.62–1.01 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

OFI crest
OFI
vs
Kifisia
Kifisia crest
6League position7
13Points11
13Goals for10
12Goals against11
1Goal difference-1

Current SLG table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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