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Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş — Süper Lig

Fenerbahçe crestFenerbahçe
Full time1–2
Beşiktaş crestBeşiktaş

How the call landed

Süper Lig·5 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Fenerbahçe crestFE0–2BIBeşiktaş crest
Full time
Fenerbahçe crestFE1–2BIBeşiktaş crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 0-2, finished 1-2).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 1-2 — partial.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.09

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickSüper Lig
Sat 5 Sep · 19:00 SAST
Fenerbahçe crestFenerbahçe
Projected0–2xG 0.90 · 2.40
Beşiktaş crestBeşiktaş

The model leans Be Ikta (71%), projecting 0-2.

FEDrawBI
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultBe Ikta win71%
Both teams to scoreYes53%
Total goalsOver 2.563%
Double chanceDraw or Be Ikta89%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Be Ikta (71%), projecting 0-2.

Projected 0-2 from 0.9–2.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 53%, over 2.5 goals 63%. Model projects 0.87–2.41 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → BI

    Model projects 0.87–2.41 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~63% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

Fenerbahçe crest
Fenerbahçe
vs
Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş crest
5League position4
16Points18
23Goals for18
8Goals against10
15Goal difference8

Current Süper Lig table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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