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Servette FC vs FC ST. Gallen — Swiss Super League

Servette FC crestServette FC
Full time0–2
FC ST. Gallen crestFC ST. Gallen

How the call landed

Swiss Super League·6 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Servette FC crestSF0–1FSGFC ST. Gallen crest
Full time
Servette FC crestSF0–2FSGFC ST. Gallen crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 0-1, finished 0-2).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 0-2 — partial.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.13

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickSwiss Super League
Sun 6 Sep · 14:00 SAST
Servette FC crestServette FC
Projected0–1xG 0.80 · 1.90
FC ST. Gallen crestFC ST. Gallen

The model leans FC St Gallen (63%), projecting 0-1.

SFDrawFSG
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultFC St Gallen win63%
Both teams to scoreNo51%
Total goalsOver 2.553%
Double chanceDraw or FC St Gallen86%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans FC St Gallen (63%), projecting 0-1.

Projected 0-1 from 0.8–1.9 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 49%, over 2.5 goals 53%. Model projects 0.84–1.94 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → FSG

    Model projects 0.84–1.94 expected goals

Form & table

Servette FC crest
Servette FC
vs
FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen crest
5League position6
16Points16
16Goals for17
14Goals against21
2Goal difference-4

Current SSL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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