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BSC Young Boys vs Servette FC — Swiss Super League

How the call landed

Swiss Super League·19 Sep
Result hit
Model called
BSC Young Boys crestBYB2–1SFServette FC crest
Full time
BSC Young Boys crestBYB3–2SFServette FC crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 2-1, finished 3-2).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 3-2 — partial.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.09

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickSwiss Super League
Sat 19 Sep · 18:00 SAST
BSC Young Boys crestBSC Young Boys
Projected2–1xG 2.40 · 0.90
Servette FC crestServette FC

The model leans Bsc Young Boys (70%), projecting 2-1.

BYBDrawSF
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultBsc Young Boys win70%
Both teams to scoreYes52%
Total goalsOver 2.563%
Double chanceBsc Young Boys or draw89%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Bsc Young Boys (70%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 2.4–0.9 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 52%, over 2.5 goals 63%. Model projects 2.38–0.85 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → BYB

    Model projects 2.38–0.85 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~63% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

BSC Young Boys crest
BSC Young Boys
vs
Servette FC
Servette FC crest
2League position5
25Points16
35Goals for16
18Goals against14
17Goal difference2

Current SSL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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