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Grasshoppers vs FC ST. Gallen — Swiss Super League

Grasshoppers crestGrasshoppers
Full time2–0
FC ST. Gallen crestFC ST. Gallen

How the call landed

Swiss Super League·2 Sep
1 market hit
Model called
Home win — GRA
Projected score 1–1
Full time
Grasshoppers crestGRA2–0FSGFC ST. Gallen crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Total goals call landed (Under 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (home_win).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).

Takeaway. Called draw, finished 2-0 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.12

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickSwiss Super League
Wed 2 Sep · 20:30 SAST
Grasshoppers crestGrasshoppers
Projected1–1xG 1.30 · 1.20
FC ST. Gallen crestFC ST. Gallen

Too close to call (34% draw), projecting 1-1.

GRADrawFSG
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultDraw34%
Both teams to scoreYes52%
Total goalsUnder 2.553%
Double chanceGrasshoppers or draw69%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

Too close to call (34% draw), projecting 1-1.

Projected 1-1 from 1.3–1.2 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 52%, over 2.5 goals 47%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Grasshoppers crest
Grasshoppers
vs
FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen crest
11League position6
9Points16
13Goals for17
26Goals against21
-13Goal difference-4

Current SSL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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