Skip to content
Tips8ngBeautifAI Game

San Marino vs Albania — UEFA Nations League

San Marino crestSan Marino
Full time0–3
Albania crestAlbania

How the call landed

UEFA Nations League·29 Sep
Result hit
Model called
San Marino crestSM1–2ALBAlbania crest
Full time
San Marino crestSM0–3ALBAlbania crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 1-2, finished 0-3).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 0-3 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.27

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickUEFA Nations League
Tue 29 Sep · 20:45 SAST
San Marino crestSan Marino
Projected1–2xG 1.40 · 1.40
Albania crestAlbania

No strong lean — near even (30% / 22% / 48%), projecting 1-2.

SMDrawALB
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean48%
Both teams to scoreYes55%
Total goalsOver 2.551%
Double chanceNo strong lean70%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (30% / 22% / 48%), projecting 1-2.

Projected 1-2 from 1.4–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 55%, over 2.5 goals 51%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

San Marino crest
San Marino
vs
Albania
Albania crest
4League position1
0Points9
1Goals for8
16Goals against3
-15Goal difference5

Current UNL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

Want the full match intelligence?

Pre-match analysis and every market live in your dashboard.

Open in dashboard
More UNL fixtures →The predictions board →Today’s Tips5 →