UNL·4 Oct
Exact scoreModel called
AZE1–0LIT
Full time
AZE1–0LITMarkets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Under 2.5
Azerbaijan vs Lithuania — UEFA Nations League
How the call landed
AZE1–0LITAZE1–0LITAZE1–0LITAZE1–0LITTakeaway. Called home win, finished 1-0 — correct.
AzerbaijanLithuania18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.
Projected 1-0 from 0.9–0.9 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 33%, over 2.5 goals 24%. Under 2.5 goals ~76% likely
Under 2.5 goals ~76% likely
Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced
Current UNL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.
Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.
No published versions recorded for this match.
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