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Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven — USL Championship

Rhode Island crestRhode Island
Full time1–0
Indy Eleven crestIndy Eleven

How the call landed

USL Championship·1 Oct
Exact score
Model called
Rhode Island crestRI1–0IEIndy Eleven crest
Full time
Rhode Island crestRI1–0IEIndy Eleven crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Nailed the exact scoreline (1-0).
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).
  • –Total goals call landed (Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-0 — correct.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.21

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickUSL Championship
Thu 1 Oct · 01:30 SAST
Rhode Island crestRhode Island
Projected1–0xG 0.90 · 1.00
Indy Eleven crestIndy Eleven

The model leans Rhode Island (54%), projecting 1-0.

RIDrawIE
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultRhode Island win54%
Both teams to scoreNo63%
Total goalsUnder 2.570%
Double chanceRhode Island or draw77%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Rhode Island (54%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 0.9–1.0 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 37%, over 2.5 goals 30%. Under 2.5 goals ~70% likely

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Low-tempo profile

    → Neutral

    Under 2.5 goals ~70% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Rhode Island crest
Rhode Island
vs
Indy Eleven
Indy Eleven crest
7League position9
42Points34
42Goals for35
33Goals against41
9Goal difference-6

Current USL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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