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Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC — USL Championship

Tampa Bay Rowdies crestTampa Bay Rowdies
Sat 31 Oct01:30SAST
Miami FC crestMiami FC

The model’s prediction

Featured pickUSL Championship
Sat 31 Oct · 01:30 SAST
Tampa Bay Rowdies crestTampa Bay Rowdies
Projected1–0xG 1.30 · 1.10
Miami FC crestMiami FC

No strong lean — near even (54% / 31% / 15%), projecting 1-0.

TBRDrawMF
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean54%
Both teams to scoreYes54%
Total goalsOver 2.552%
Double chanceNo strong lean85%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (54% / 31% / 15%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 1.3–1.1 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 54%, over 2.5 goals 52%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

All markets

  • Match result

    No strong leanToo close to call

  • Double chance

    No strong leanToo close to call

  • Draw no bet

    No strong leanToo close to call

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Form & table

Tampa Bay Rowdies crest
Tampa Bay Rowdies
vs
Miami FC
Miami FC crest
1League position8
61Points36
52Goals for39
26Goals against49
26Goal difference-10

Current USL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. OriginalCurrent
    Tampa Bay Rowdies winH 54% · D 31% · A 15%Projected 1–0xG 1.34–1.08
    model random-forest@v1

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