Skip to content
Tips8ngBeautifAI Game

New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising — USL Championship

New Mexico United crestNew Mexico United
Mon 2 Nov01:00SAST
Phoenix Rising crestPhoenix Rising

The model’s prediction

Featured pickUSL Championship
Mon 2 Nov · 01:00 SAST
New Mexico United crestNew Mexico United
Projected2–1xG 1.90 · 1.60
Phoenix Rising crestPhoenix Rising

The model leans New Mexico United (54%), projecting 2-1.

NMUDrawPR
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNew Mexico United win54%
Both teams to scoreYes54%
Total goalsOver 2.552%
Double chanceNew Mexico United or draw81%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans New Mexico United (54%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.9–1.6 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 54%, over 2.5 goals 52%. Model projects 1.91–1.55 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → NMU

    Model projects 1.91–1.55 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

All markets

  • Match result

    New Mexico United win54% model probability

  • Double chance

    New Mexico United or draw81% model probability

  • Draw no bet

    New Mexico United74% model probability

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Form & table

New Mexico United crest
New Mexico United
vs
Phoenix Rising
Phoenix Rising crest
1League position8
52Points40
45Goals for45
34Goals against46
11Goal difference-1

Current USL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. OriginalCurrent
    New Mexico United winH 53% · D 27% · A 19%Projected 2–1xG 1.91–1.55
    model random-forest@v1

Want the full match intelligence?

Pre-match analysis and every market live in your dashboard.

Open in dashboard
More USL fixtures →The predictions board →Today’s Tips5 →