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Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa — USL Championship

Sacramento Republic crestSacramento Republic
Mon 2 Nov04:00SAST
FC Tulsa crestFC Tulsa

The model’s prediction

Featured pickUSL Championship
Mon 2 Nov · 04:00 SAST
Sacramento Republic crestSacramento Republic
Projected2–1xG 1.80 · 1.00
FC Tulsa crestFC Tulsa

The model leans Sacramento Republic (59%), projecting 2-1.

SRDrawFT
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultSacramento Republic win59%
Both teams to scoreYes54%
Total goalsOver 2.552%
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw81%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Sacramento Republic (59%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.8–1.0 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 54%, over 2.5 goals 52%. Model projects 1.79–0.95 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → SR

    Model projects 1.79–0.95 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

All markets

  • Match result

    Sacramento Republic win59% model probability

  • Double chance

    Sacramento Republic or draw81% model probability

  • Draw no bet

    Sacramento Republic76% model probability

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Form & table

Sacramento Republic crest
Sacramento Republic
vs
FC Tulsa
FC Tulsa crest
2League position7
51Points43
42Goals for34
28Goals against31
14Goal difference3

Current USL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. OriginalCurrent
    Sacramento Republic winH 59% · D 22% · A 19%Projected 2–1xG 1.79–0.95
    model random-forest@v1

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