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Kellermann vs Metz — Coupe de France

Kellermann crestKellermann
Sat 14 Nov15:00SAST
Metz crestMetz

The model’s prediction

Featured pickCoupe de France
Sat 14 Nov · 15:00 SAST
Kellermann crestKellermann
Projected2–1xG 1.70 · 2.00
Metz crestMetz

No strong lean — near even (40% / 34% / 26%), projecting 2-1.

KELDrawMET
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean40%
Both teams to scoreYes51%
Total goalsOver 2.557%
Double chanceNo strong lean74%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (40% / 34% / 26%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.7–2.0 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 51%, over 2.5 goals 57%. Model projects 1.66–1.96 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → MET

    Model projects 1.66–1.96 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

All markets

  • Match result

    No strong leanToo close to call

  • Double chance

    No strong leanToo close to call

  • Draw no bet

    No strong leanToo close to call

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. OriginalCurrent
    Kellermann winH 40% · D 34% · A 26%Projected 2–1xG 1.66–1.96
    model random-forest@v2

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