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Cray Wanderers vs Stockport County — FA Cup

Cray Wanderers crestCray Wanderers
Sun 8 Nov16:15SAST
Stockport County crestStockport County

The model’s prediction

Featured pickFA Cup
Sun 8 Nov · 16:15 SAST
Cray Wanderers crestCray Wanderers
Projected1–0xG 1.60 · 0.70
Stockport County crestStockport County

No strong lean — near even (42% / 19% / 39%), projecting 1-0.

CWDrawSC
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean42%
Both teams to scoreYes57%
Total goalsOver 2.564%
Double chanceNo strong lean61%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (42% / 19% / 39%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 1.6–0.7 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 57%, over 2.5 goals 64%. Model projects 1.56–0.73 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → CW

    Model projects 1.56–0.73 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~64% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

All markets

  • Match result

    No strong leanToo close to call

  • Double chance

    No strong leanToo close to call

  • Draw no bet

    No strong leanToo close to call

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. Original
    Cray Wanderers winH 41% · D 20% · A 39%Projected 1–0xG 1.52–0.76
    model random-forest@v7
  2. Revision 1
    Cray Wanderers winH 42% · D 19% · A 39%Projected 1–0xG 1.56–0.72
    model random-forest@v7
  3. Revision 2Current
    Cray Wanderers winH 42% · D 19% · A 39%Projected 1–0xG 1.56–0.73
    model random-forest@v8

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